Live war-risk alerts, Hormuz status, regulatory changes, port disruptions and shipping-market intelligence — updated around the clock.
Seven sanctioned Russian tankers have been spoofing AIS signals for 90 days to mask voyages from Novorossiysk while US-sanctioned LPG carriers were removed from Iran’s PGSA non-compliance list; the pattern shows enforcement announcements outpacing actual detentions and leaves charterers, agents and crews exposed to unpaid claims and port refusals.
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NITC VLCC HUGE (IMO 9357183) evaded US naval enforcement, carrying 1.9M barrels ($220M) crude to Asia-Pacific after AIS blackout since Mar 20; reaches Indonesia's Lombok Strait.
MSC launches the Europe-Red Sea-Middle East Express, reshaping risk exposure by anchoring the loop in the North and decoupling Gulf access via multimodal handoff.
Day 64 of the Hormuz crisis. Iran expanded to 14 points and softened sovereignty to mechanism; Trump remains 'not satisfied'; Rubio drew the international-waterway line; DMW logged 1,300 Filipino seafarer Hormuz crossings; Brent retreated to $108 on optionality, not deal pricing. Global Maritime Risk Index: 9.8.
Iran expanded its Hormuz counterproposal from 5 conditions to 14 points, softened 'sovereignty' to 'mechanism,' and demanded the strait be sequenced BEFORE nuclear talks. Trump's reply: 'Can't imagine it would be acceptable.' Rubio's reply was sharper, and that's the line operators should anchor to.
The April 26 deadline for Iranian oil wells to avoid permanent reservoir damage has passed with the US blockade still in place. Every oil market model — Rystad, ING, Goldman — was built on a supply snap-back assumption that is no longer physically valid. The blockade has created a structural supply shock that persists beyond any diplomatic outcome.
CENTCOM briefed Trump on three military alternatives to the stalled Hormuz diplomacy: targeted strikes, partial seizure of Hormuz itself, and a special forces operation against Iran's HEU stockpile. Each option has radically different consequences for the 5,200 vessels trapped in and around the Persian Gulf — and for the Bab el-Mandeb.
Iran's formal counterproposal to Trump's nuclear-first stance includes an unprecedented demand: international recognition of Iranian sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz. This is not a transit dispute. It is a demand to rewrite international maritime law — and it signals the diplomatic gap is wider than any analyst has publicly modeled.
Global Maritime Risk Index holds at 9.8. Iran submitted a Hormuz-reopening proposal on May 1; Trump is unhappy. Brent hit $118 on April 29. MEPC 84 concluded without adopting the Net-Zero Framework. 3,500 Filipino seafarers still stranded. Mine clearance: 6 months minimum.
Two ships made it out last week. 1,200 Filipino seafarers have now exited the Strait of Hormuz. But 3,500 remain aboard vessels stranded in the Persian Gulf, and 15 Filipino crew members are aboard two vessels seized by Iranian gunboats on April 22.
On April 29, Brent crude touched $118/barrel after Trump said he would maintain the US naval blockade until Iran agrees to a nuclear deal — not just a Hormuz deal. That one sentence moved the market $12 in hours. Here is the mechanism.
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